{"topic":{"id":11441,"title":"银河帝国的心理史学让数人有点爽","slug":"topic","categoryId":4,"createdAt":"2024-04-14 14:58:22.279156","bumpedAt":"2024-04-15 03:15:12.798528","views":190,"postsCount":5,"highestPostNumber":5,"likeCount":3,"closed":false,"pinned":false,"pinnedGlobally":false,"pinnedAt":null,"pinnedUntil":null,"isBanner":false,"excerpt":"靠统计心理学算出千年历史，当然我知道因为系统混沌的原因根本不可能捏。现在复杂科学连预测系统分叉都做不太到吧。","deletedAt":null,"isAnonymous":false,"category":{"id":4,"name":"谈笑风生","slug":"general","color":"25AAE2"},"author":{"id":346,"username":"hoist","name":null,"avatarUrl":"/uploads/image/0d/cd/0dcdf69d213b6798002779ad4b729567cd4d889ee4a56c07a8c4454e8b563219.avif"},"tags":[]},"posts":[{"id":29774,"postNumber":1,"raw":"靠统计心理学算出千年历史，当然我知道因为系统混沌的原因根本不可能捏。现在复杂科学连预测系统分叉都做不太到吧。","cooked":"

靠统计心理学算出千年历史，当然我知道因为系统混沌的原因根本不可能捏。现在复杂科学连预测系统分叉都做不太到吧。

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也有可能样本还不够大。

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困难。因素太多且如此混沌，可能预测一天后就不知偏离到哪了去了

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想推荐莱姆的《未来学大会》，靠语言学预测未来

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当然说到语言学，更离不开特德姜~

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